Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AIOZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.711273 0.830986 0.962499 1.117397 1.294538 1.490472 1.723278
2024-12-22 0.492034 0.643995 0.828226 1.066701 1.365755 1.726777 2.193851
2024-12-29 0.376216 0.547285 0.774353 1.094433 1.529984 2.097389 2.886997
2025-01-05 0.291940 0.469089 0.724920 1.114805 1.685816 2.481593 3.661854
2025-01-12 0.233264 0.411298 0.689249 1.144023 1.855438 2.907798 4.557910
2025-01-19 0.191280 0.367862 0.664155 1.181383 2.039917 3.378989 5.583904
2025-01-26 0.156953 0.327904 0.634956 1.204329 2.202429 3.836082 6.647313
2025-02-02 0.140943 0.316752 0.651877 1.306562 2.508942 4.558810 8.219079
2025-02-09 0.119264 0.288657 0.631472 1.336869 2.693265 5.099615 9.553179
2025-02-16 0.097469 0.254253 0.591145 1.320930 2.788835 5.495716 10.681691
2025-02-23 0.076343 0.215191 0.532442 1.256460 2.780082 5.699962 11.488371
2025-03-02 0.063876 0.193190 0.505464 1.252027 2.887041 6.127825 12.746171
2025-03-09 0.051344 0.167988 0.467422 1.220627 2.943087 6.483225 13.946138
2025-03-16 0.039292 0.140007 0.416103 1.149156 2.903551 6.648285 14.806540
2025-03-23 0.033465 0.128386 0.403657 1.168775 3.071215 7.261925 16.643908
2025-03-30 0.028451 0.117507 0.390550 1.184310 3.232591 7.883805 18.572461
2025-04-06 0.024609 0.109135 0.382442 1.211450 3.426548 8.601205 20.784624
2025-04-13 0.021607 0.102623 0.378227 1.248505 3.651258 9.414826 23.293961
2025-04-20 0.018710 0.095304 0.369572 1.271233 3.842976 10.175383 25.766001
2025-04-27 0.017863 0.096147 0.387939 1.377675 4.272368 11.544413 29.754107
2025-05-04 0.015698 0.090302 0.382026 1.408920 4.502477 12.459178 32.781368
2025-05-11 0.013117 0.081252 0.362145 1.391878 4.595344 13.046979 35.097709
2025-05-18 0.010341 0.069656 0.329111 1.324086 4.531005 13.230653 36.461132